Moore’s Law, one of the most prescient observations made about the
increasing power of computer processors that has become accepted theory
and practice for almost 50 years, may soon be no more.

Intel has made great advances with the latest Haswell processor
This is the news, that barring some sort of technological
breakthrough, the practical limits on improvement of copper on silicon
technology (microchips) may have already reached the practical limit of
what can be achieved.
According to Moore’s Law, originally published in a 1965
research
paper, by none other than Intel co-founder, Gordon Moore, the number of
transistors capable of being placed onto an integrated circuit board
doubles every two years, and consequently it was postulated that
processing power also doubles.
Although something of a hypothetical back in the sixties, the theory
was soon proven to be true, sort of, or was at least close enough to the
truth that now iconic piece of thinking became universally known as
Moore’s law.
Experts have now predicted
however
that it will be nigh on impossible to shrink transistors any further by
the year 2021. That is at least from an economically viable
perspective. While it theoretically possible to make transistors smaller
and smaller, after a certain point the costs involved become
exponentially prohibitive, and also begins to involve quantum mechanics.
Moore’s law worked around the idea that the reason behind integrated
circuits were and would become more powerful every 2 years or so, was
because there was a
demand
for ever more powerful electronics. However, getting around the
problems that come with working around quantum physics would probably
bankrupt any company that tried to do it.
An end to the future?
No. Probably.
Because as we’ve already seen, there are always possibilities and new
ways of thinking. We’ve already gotten used to the idea dual, quad, and
even 20 core processors in computers, where technology and economic
limits of single processors has been bypassed by getting more done with
several side by side.
The next step will probably see the extension into 3D, but unlike 3D
TVs, this will probably work. Current generation processors are
essentially built on a 2D plane. The next generation may see
transistors being stacked on top of each other, to break through the
barrier of the end of Moore’s law.
But as always, it will be time that tells.